NFL Week Fourteen Predictions

Posted: December 5, 2013 in Uncategorized

131018165426-alshon-jeffery-2-single-image-cut

Last Week: 6-8-1
2013 Season: 80-99-10

Jacksonville Jaguars (3-9) AT Houston Texans (2-10)

The Spread: Houston by 3
The Pick: Houston
The Score: Houston, 24-17
The Rationale: Jacksonville has won 3 consecutive road games. But, these are still the Jaguars. Even against the likes of Case Keenum and the Texans, who have lost 10 consecutive games overall, I can’t fathom Jacksonville taking a fourth straight road victory.

Indianapolis Colts (8-4) AT Cincinnati Bengals (8-4)

The Spread: Cincinnati by 7
The Pick: Indianapolis
The Score: Cincinnati, 27-23
The Rationale: Indianapolis had a good run and will be heading to the playoffs for the second straight year. But, injuries on both offense and defense have crippled their chances at hoisting the Lombardi Trophy. Cincinnati doesn’t necessarily look like a championship contender either. But, the Dalton-to-Green connection should be good enough to overcome a banged up Colts bunch.

Atlanta Falcons (3-9) AT Green Bay Packers (5-6-1)

The Spread: Green Bay by 7
The Pick: Atlanta
The Score: Green Bay, 20-17
The Rationale: It’s hard to really pick this game without knowing if Aaron Rodgers is going to play or not. Seeing as how it’s Thursday and we still don’t know, I’ll just assume that he isn’t going to appear at Lambeau. Regardless, I think Green Bay wins the game. Their backs are truly against the wall and Atlanta has all but given up on the season.

Cleveland Browns (4-8) AT New England Patriots (9-3)

The Spread: New England by 12
The Pick: New England
The Score: New England, 31-14
The Rationale: The Browns may have Josh Gordon, the only receiver in NFL history to record back-t0-back 200+ yard receiving games. But, they don’t have a quarterback. With both Brandon Weeden and Jason Campbell out, Cleveland will be forced to turn to Alex Tanney, a former YouTube sensation following a banner career at Monmouth State. Tanney became famous for throwing balls at moving trucks. He’ll become infamous for getting hit my Mac-truck like defenders.

Oakland Raiders (4-8) AT New York Jets (5-7)

The Spread: New York by 3
The Pick: Oakland
The Score: Oakland, 21-13
The Rationale: Matt McGloin has been playing brilliantly over the past month. The same cannot be said about Geno Smith, who hasn’t thrown a touchdown pass since three days BEFORE the World Series began. Oakland is treading in dangerous waters as a west coast team traveling east to play at 1:00 PM. But, not even jet lag could inspire the Jets’ lackluster passing game.

Miami Dolphins (6-6) AT Pittsburgh Steelers (5-7)

The Spread: Pittsburgh by 3
The Pick: Miami
The Score: Miami, 17-13
The Rationale: This is, for all intents and purposes, an elimination game for whomever loses. Miami is coming off an impressive victory against the woeful Jets and Pittsburgh has had to deal with the distraction from “Sideline-gate” all week. This should be a classic defensive battle in the cold.

Detroit Lions (7-5) AT Philadelphia Eagles (7-5)

The Spread: Philadelphia by 3
The Pick: Philadelphia
The Score: Philadelphia, 33-27
The Rationale: The Eagles continue to dominate in the first half of games before seeing their leads evaporate down the stretch. Chip Kelly needs to figure out the delicate balance between killing the clock and effectively running his no-huddle offense before it’s too late. This week, they’ll get the benefit of facing a turnover-prone, dome team that plays very poorly outdoors in the cold. Detroit has become the trendy pick by “experts” who look only at Philadelphia’s 32nd ranked pass defense and not at how those rankings are achieved (the fact that the Eagles are typically outnumbered in time of possession being a main factor). In the end, Nick Foles will once again play well. But, it will be LeSean McCoy’s big day that will lead Philadelphia to 8-5.

Buffalo Bills (4-8) AT Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-9)

The Spread: Tampa Bay by 3
The Pick: Tampa Bay
The Score: Tampa Bay, 23-14
The Rationale: The Buccaneers’ defense is still a quality unit despite injuries and an ineffective offense putting pressure on them to perform. Meanwhile, Buffalo fumbled away yet another chance to get into the playoff race last week. The road woes for the Bills (1-4 this season) will continue in sunny Florida.

Kansas City Chiefs (9-3) AT Washington Redskins (3-9)

The Spread: Kansas City by 3
The Pick: Kansas City
The Score: Kansas City, 34-28
The Rationale: What a difference a year makes. At this point in 2012, Washington was soaring to a division title and Kansas City was sulking its way to the #1 pick. Of course, both of these teams have struggled over the past month. The Redskins have lost 4 in a row while Kansas City has dropped three straight. One of these trends is going to be bucked on Sunday (although a tie is possible, I suppose). I’ll take Kansas City, whose offense appears to suddenly be awakening right as the defense begins to catch the injury bug.

Minnesota Vikings (3-8-1) AT Baltimore Ravens (6-6)

The Spread: Baltimore by 7
The Pick: Baltimore
The Score: Baltimore, 27-11
The Rationale: Toronto Mayor Rob Ford picked Minnesota in this game. So, that’s enough for me to go with the Ravens. That, and the fact that the Vikings are 0-5-1 away from the Metrodome this season. That’s not a good recipe for Matt Cassel and the Vikings.

Tennessee Titans (5-7) AT Denver Broncos (10-2)

The Spread: Denver by 11
The Pick: Denver
The Score: Denver, 34-17
The Rationale: The Titans still have a chance at a wild card berth. But, their bubble will likely pop this weekend against Peyton Manning and the Broncos. The only solace that Tennessee can take is their #1 ranked pass defense. But, even that may not be enough when Ryan Fitzpatrick is directing a lackluster and stagnant offense.

St. Louis Rams (5-7) AT Arizona Cardinals (7-5)

The Spread: Arizona by 6
The Pick: St. Louis
The Score: Arizona, 27-24
The Rationale: The former St. Louis franchise takes on the current incarnation in an NFC West matchup. The Cardinals play much better at home, so a return to University of Phoenix Stadium should help them rebound against the Rams. But, the St. Louis pass rush should also make Carson Palmer’s afternoon a living hell. St. Louis with the points.

New York Giants (5-7) AT San Diego Chargers (5-7)

The Spread: San Diego by 3
The Pick: San Diego
The Score: San Diego, 23-19
The Rationale: If there are two more frustrating teams than these two, let me know. Both are rife with talent that has succeeded in the past. But, they just can’t seem to put it together on a consistent basis. New York has won five of six. But, the west coast hasn’t been kind to them of late.

Seattle Seahawks (11-1) AT San Francisco 49ers (8-4)

The Spread: San Francisco by 3
The Pick: Seattle
The Score: San Francisco, 24-23
The Rationale: This is a really tough game to pick. On one hand, Seattle is the most dominant force in football. But, they’re not playing in front of the 12th man this Sunday and they’re coming off an emotionally charged victory on Monday night over New Orleans. A letdown game is certainly possible. Still, Pete Carroll should have his team ready in a game that can clinch the division for the Seahawks. I just don’t know if they’ll come out on top in what should be a very tight affair.

Carolina Panthers (9-3) AT New Orleans Saints (9-3)

The Spread: New Orleans by 3
The Pick: New Orleans
The Score: New Orleans, 25-20
The Rationale: The battle for the NFC South commences as the Saints and Panthers will meet twice in the final four weeks of the season to determine the division champion (and a likely first round bye). Both teams play well against the other, with Carolina sweeping New Orleans last season. I think these two teams will split, with New Orleans winning on Sunday and Carolina taking it at home two weeks from now.

Dallas Cowboys (7-5) AT Chicago Bears (6-6)

The Spread: Even (Pick ’em)
The Pick: Chicago
The Score: Chicago, 26-24
The Rationale: I’ve gone back and forth on this game. On one hand, Dallas should have little trouble passing on the Bears. But, that’s almost a vice for the Cowboys because Jason Garrett will get so enamored with the air-attack that he’ll air it out 45-55 times and forget all about balance. Meanwhile, Chicago has a terrific passing game as well. They also have one of the best running backs in the business in Matt Forte. If he touches the ball at least 20 times on Monday, Chicago will win.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s