Week Ten NFL Predictions

Posted: November 6, 2013 in Uncategorized
Tags: ,



Last Week: 4-7-1
2013 Season: 52-72-7

Washington Redskins (3-5) AT Minnesota Vikings (1-7)

The Spread: Washington by 1
The Pick: Minnesota
The Score: Minnesota, 24-17
The Rationale: Thursday Night Football continues to be a disaster as two 2012 playoff teams come into week 10 struggling to come to grips with their recent lack of success. The Redskins squeaked by San Diego at home last week. Not exactly an impressive victory. But, a win nonetheless. The Vikings may have actually looked better than Washington in a losing effort to Dallas. I think Adrian Peterson has enough to will Minnesota to a home victory against RG3 and the ‘Skins.

Seattle Seahawks (8-1) AT Atlanta Falcons (2-6)

The Spread: Seattle by 6
The Pick: Seattle
The Score: Seattle, 26-14
The Rationale: A rematch of last year’s NFC Divisional playoff; this game was predicted to be a potential playoff preview last spring. Now, the Falcons look like a shell of their former greatness. Atlanta, 0-4 on the road and 2-2 at home, will look to defend Georgia Dome against the 8-1 Seahawks. Seattle, meanwhile, has been very successful in close games (of which they have played a lot this season). I think that Atlanta is done without their outside weapons. 

Detroit Lions (5-3) AT Chicago Bears (5-3)

The Spread: Detroit by 3
The Pick: Chicago
The Score: Chicago, 23-20
The Rationale: The Bears got an immense victory over the Rodgers-less Packers on Monday. Josh McCown looked poised in a road triumph and Matt Forte looked rejuvenated without Jay Cutler. If Detroit is to win this game, they’ll need Megatron to go absolutely crazy. He just might do that. But, I like the Bears to hold fort at home and take a big edge in the NFC North.

Philadelphia Eagles (4-5) AT Green Bay Packers (5-3)

The Spread: Green Bay by 1
The Pick: Philadelphia
The Score: Philadelphia, 24-20
The Rationale: What a difference a day makes. On Monday morning, the early line for this game was Green Bay -13. With Aaron Rodgers out and Seneca Wallace in, the line is now basically a pink ’em. I’m hesitant to go all in on Philadelphia. The Nick Foles Experience not withstanding, this is still a team with a lot of holes on both sides of the ball. But, they are a much better team on the road (4-1 away from Lincoln Financial Field vs. 0-4 at the friendly confines). With a healthy Rodgers, I might take Green Bay to cover 13. Without him, the Eagles should have a slight edge assuming Foles performs adequately and doesn’t revert back to the performance level he exhibited against Dallas.

Jacksonville Jaguars (0-8) AT Tennessee Titans (4-4)

The Spread: Tennessee by 12
The Pick: Tennessee
The Score: Tennessee, 31-17
The Rationale: The Titans have proven one thing this year. They can beat bad teams. Tennessee’s four victories come against the likes of Pittsburgh, San Diego, New York, and St. Louis. Their losses come at the hands of Seattle, Houston, Kansas City, and San Francisco. I’ll take the Titans minus the points against a Jaguars team already set for the NFL Draft.

St. Louis Rams (3-6) AT Indianapolis Colts (6-2)

The Spread: Indianapolis by 10
The Pick: Indianapolis 
The Score: Indianapolis, 30-19
The Rationale: The worst move Jeff Fisher has made since coming to St. Louis was relying on Kellen Clemens to be his backup at QB. The Rams’ offense, stagnant all season, has only gotten worse without Sam Bradford. They haven’t gotten any production out of top-10 pick, Tavon Austin. If that trend continues, the Rams will find it difficult to win any games down the stretch. Let alone a matchup against the soaring Colts and Andrew Luck.

Oakland Raiders (3-5) AT New York Giants (2-6)

The Spread: New York by 8
The Pick: Oakland
The Score: Oakland, 20-10
The Rationale: I know that the Raiders just got diced up by Nick Foles. But, there is a big difference between Foles and Eli Manning. The Philadelphia QB is very cautious with the football, rarely throwing interceptions. Meanwhile, Manning has more interceptions thrown than anyone else in the league. If Terrelle Pryor plays, Oakland wins. I reserve the right to change this pick later in the week if, in fact, Matt McGloin starts. 

Buffalo Bills (3-6) AT Pittsburgh Steelers (2-6)

The Spread: Pittsburgh by 3
The Pick: Pittsburgh
The Score: Pittsburgh, 21-17
The Rationale: The Bills continue to rely on rookie QBs this season, as Jeff Tuel single-handedly handed the game to Kansas City last week. I doubt he experiences quite the same amount of problems against an aging Pittsburgh defense. However, the fact that he continues to be turnover prone doesn’t bode well.

Cincinnati Bengals (6-3) AT Baltimore Ravens (3-5)

The Spread: Cincinnati by 2
The Pick: Cincinnati
The Score: Cincinnati, 19-14
The Rationale: The defending champion Ravens were expected to take a step backwards with all the talent lost over the offseason. Few expected them to fall this far from the pack. The Bengals, with a victory on Sunday, can all but wrap up the AFC North, barring a collapse. They’ll probably do that, as Baltimore’s offense has continued to become one-dimensional, with Ray Rice getting less-and-less playing time as the season goes on.

Carolina Panthers (5-3) AT San Francisco 49ers (6-2)

The Spread: San Francisco by 6.5
The Pick: Carolina
The Score: San Francisco, 20-17
The Rationale: This is going to be the marquee matchup of the week. The 49ers are coming off of a bye and get to play at home. Carolina, triumphant over Atlanta last week, needs to pack their bags and travel across the country en route to a matchup with one of the best defenses in football. The Panthers’ D isn’t too shabby either, having not allowed a first half touchdown all season long. It’s going to be very close. But, I think the 49ers will pull this one out on the strength of home field advantage and a ferocious defense.

Houston Texans (2-6) AT Arizona Cardinals (4-4)

The Spread: Arizona by 3
The Pick: Arizona
The Score: Arizona, 21-11
The Rationale: Houston is going to be dealing with a long road trip against a very good defense in Arizona. They’ll also be under the tutelage of Wade Phillips, who sits in for Gary Kubiak. Sometimes, this type of situation can inspire the emotions of teams. In this event, I think that the collapse in last week’s second half will weigh on Case Keenum and the Texans. Couple that with the fact that Arizona is coming off a of a bye and has had two weeks to prepare for the young gunslinger, and I think it’s Arizona’s game to lose.

Denver Broncos (7-1) AT San Diego Chargers (4-4)

The Spread: Denver by 7
The Pick: Denver
The Score: Denver, 36-24
The Rationale: I like the Chargers’ offense. I think that Danny Woodhead and Keenan Allen are quality complimentary pieces. If San Diego can continue to improve its defense and acquire a #1 playmaker on offense this offseason; they will be a serious force to be reckoned with in the West next year. Unfortunately, they play Peyton Manning and the Broncos this week. It’s hard enough to handle Manning’s talent coupled with all those playmakers in the Mile High City. Add to that the fact that the Broncos are coming off of a bye, and I don’t see how San Diego stops them.

Dallas Cowboys (5-4) AT New Orleans Saints (6-2)

The Spread: New Orleans by 7
The Pick: Dallas
The Score: New Orleans, 31-30
The Rationale: New Orleans has to be sore emotionally after losing to the Jets last week. Dallas, meanwhile, continued to play down to their competition with a narrow victory over Minnesota. This week, the Cowboys will keep it close, as usual. But, in the end, a magical Drew Brees drive will set up a Garrett Hartley game winning field goal as time expires.

Miami Dolphins (4-4) AT Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-8)

The Spread: Miami by 3
The Pick: Tampa Bay
The Score: Tampa Bay, 14-10
The Rationale: Another dandy of a Monday Night Football game. The only thing more insulting in Florida than the Zimmerman verdict and Richie Incognito’s general attitude towards life is the Tampa Bay offensive performance. Somehow, someway, they will win a game this year. Why not make it at home against an in-state rival rife with controversy that should prove to be an adequate distraction prior to game time? Tampa Bay gets one at home. 


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