Week Five NFL Predictions

Posted: October 2, 2013 in Uncategorized

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Last Week: 6-8-1
Overall: 25-33-5

Buffalo Bills (2-2) AT Cleveland Browns (2-2)

The Spread: Cleveland by 4
The Pick: Cleveland
The Score: Cleveland, 28-21
The Rationale: The Browns were left for dead when they traded Trent Richardson. Since then, they are 2-0 under Brian Hoyer and will look to move above .500 this week. The Bills’ offense has stagnated since the loss of CJ Spiller. With a short week, I don’t see it getting better for Buffalo.

New Orleans Saints (4-0) AT Chicago Bears (3-1)

The Spread: New Orleans by 1
The Pick: New Orleans
The Score: New Orleans, 31-24
The Rationale: The Lions were able to march up-and-down the field on Chicago last week. I see no reason why Drew Brees shouldn’t be able to as well. 

New England Patriots (4-0) AT Cincinnati Bengals (2-2)

The Spread: Pick ’em
The Pick: Cincinnati
The Score: Cincinnati, 24-14
The Rationale: Last week’s loss to Cleveland was the classic trap game for the Bengals. Sandwiched between Green Bay and New England, Cincinnati clearly took the Browns for granted. I doubt that happens against the Patriots, who have yet to lose despite playing some of the sorriest competition known to man. 

Detroit Lions (3-1) AT Green Bay Packers (1-2)

The Spread: Green Bay by 8
The Pick: Detroit
The Score: Green Bay, 34-28
The Rationale: I understand the support for the Packers. They’re coming off of a bye week and are at Lambeau Field, a venue of horrors for the Lions in the past. But, this is not your father’s Detroit Lions. This is a contender who should keep it close in Wisconsin.

Kansas City Chiefs (4-0) AT Tennessee Titans (3-1)

The Spread: Kansas City by 3
The Pick: Kansas City
The Score: Kansas City, 24-14
The Rationale: I wish I could pick Tennessee here. But, no Jake Locker means more Ryan Fitzpatrick, and that’s not a good thing for the Titans.

Seattle Seahawks (4-0) AT Indianapolis Colts (3-1)

The Spread: Seattle by 3
The Pick: Indianapolis
The Score: Indianapolis, 20-17
The Rationale: Another great game in a week of them. Seattle is not going to go 16-0, and they’re struggled on the road in the past (although they’re 2-0 this season). Andrew Luck against Russell Wilson should be a phenomenal matchup. But, this game will ultimately come down to whomever runs the ball better.

Jacksonville Jaguars (0-4) AT St. Louis Rams (1-3)

The Spread: St. Louis by 13
The Pick: St. Louis
The Score: St. Louis, 31-16
The Rationale: If there was ever a week to use St. Louis as your suicide pool contestant, this is it. The Rams, fresh off a couple of debilitating losses, have 10 days to prepare for a Jaguars team that has look as lifeless as a mummy. Perhaps Tavon Austin can finally do something in the NFL.

Baltimore Ravens (2-2) AT Miami Dolphins (3-1)

The Spread: Miami by 3
The Pick: Miami 
The Score: Miami, 29-24
The Rationale: A critical matchup for both teams. Baltimore is 0-2 on the road this season after winning two road playoff games last year en route to the Super Bowl. That trend will continue against a tough Miami defense.

Philadelphia Eagles (1-3) AT New York Giants (0-4)

The Spread: New York by 1
The Pick: Philadelphia
The Score: Philadelphia, 41-21
The Rationale: You know that your team is disrespected when you’re a one point underdog to a team that has scored all of seven points in two weeks combined. Philadelphia’s offense has slumped the last few weeks. But, if there were ever a game to get it back on track, this is the one. New York should score more than they have of late. But, not enough to win for the first time.

Carolina Panthers (1-2) AT Arizona Cardinals (2-2)

The Spread: Carolina by 2 
The Pick: Carolina
The Score: Carolina, 27-16
The Rationale: The Panthers are coming off of a bye week, have a better QB, and have a much better defense than Arizona. Book it. 

Denver Broncos (4-0) AT Dallas Cowboys (2-2)

The Spread: Denver by 9
The Pick: Denver
The Score: Denver, 34-21
The Rationale: I don’t think this game will be as lopsided as the Eagles-Broncos affair. Dallas’ defense is not the laughing stock that Philadelphia’s is. But, no one has shown the ability to solve Peyton Manning, and I don’t think that Jason Garrett and co. are the answer to the riddle.

Houston Texans (2-2) AT San Francisco 49ers (2-2)

The Spread: San Francisco by 8
The Pick: Houston
The Score: San Francisco, 21-20
The Rationale: It is amazing the amount of teams greatly underperforming their expected success early this season. These are two such teams as Houston invades the Golden Coast. I don’t think San Francisco has the soldiers right now to cover eight points against a dynamic running offense like Houston.

San Diego Chargers (2-2) AT Oakland Raiders (1-3)

The Spread: San Diego by 4
The Pick: San Diego
The Score: San Diego, 28-14
The Rationale: The Raiders are so pathetic that the NFL was forced to change the start time of their game to 8:35 Pacific time. In what could be the lowest rated “primetime” game in years, the Raiders will likely get blown away by San Diego.

New York Jets (2-2) AT Atlanta Falcons (1-3)

The Spread: Atlanta by 10
The Pick: Atlanta 
The Score: Atlanta, 34-10
The Rationale: Never have I been more convinced in a pick. The Jets are, perhaps, the worst 2-2 team in the league. Meanwhile, the 1-3 Falcons certainly are more impressive than their record. Expect a bloodbath as Matt Ryan and Atlanta takes their aggression out on Sexy Rexy and the Jets.

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