Week Four NFL Predictions

Posted: September 26, 2013 in Uncategorized

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Last Week: 5-9-2
Overall Record: 19-25-4

San Francisco 49ers (1-2) AT St. Louis Rams (1-2)

The Spread: San Francisco by 4
The Pick: St. Louis
The Score: San Francisco, 20-17
The Rationale: The 49ers have a short week after a surprising blowout at the hands of the Colts. They also face a team that they did not beat last year in the Rams. However, the St. Louis offense has been inconsistent at best and I highly doubt they’ll find their moxie against a tough defense like San Francisco’s.

Baltimore Ravens (2-1) AT Buffalo Bills (1-2)

The Spread: Baltimore by 3
The Pick: Baltimore
The Score: Baltimore, 26-16
The Rationale: The spread for this game is shockingly narrow. Buffalo certainly garners some home field advantage. But, the defending champions proved last week in their victory over Houston that they were a force to be reckoned with at least in the short term. EJ Manuel still has a lot of work to do if he hopes to beat a team like the Ravens.

Cincinnati Bengals (2-1) AT Cleveland Browns (1-2)

The Spread: Cincinnati by 4
The Pick: Cincinnati
The Score: Cincinnati, 31-24
The Rationale: Brian Hoyer awoke a lackluster Cleveland offense last week even without Trent Richardson. What will he have for an encore? Something tells me that even if Hoyer mimics his 300+ yard week three performance, Cleveland will be in trouble.

Chicago Bears (3-0) AT Detroit Lions (2-1)

The Spread: Detroit by 3
The Pick: Chicago
The Score: Chicago, 27-26
The Rationale: It’s a huge early season showcase in the NFC North. The Lions have the offensive firepower and notoriety. But, it’s been the Bears that have seen everything go right so far this season. This will be a back and forth affair that could turn on yet another Chicago forced turnover.

New York Giants (0-3) AT Kansas City Chiefs (3-0)

The Spread: Kansas City by 5
The Pick: Kansas City
The Score: Kansas City, 23-14
The Rationale: Two teams heading in drastically different directions after three weeks, the Giants and Chiefs duel from Arrowhead this Sunday. While the Chiefs’ offense hasn’t really opened too many eyes this fall, their defense has proven to be better than advertised. That doesn’t bode well for a Giants team that scored all of 0 points last time out.

Pittsburgh Steelers (0-3) AT Minnesota Vikings (0-3)

The Spread: Pittsburgh by 1
The Pick: Minnesota
The Score: Minnesota, 19-13
The Rationale: For the first time, the NFL will play two games in London during the regular season. Their first “showcase” features two of the worst offenses in football through the first three games. Exciting stuff to market the brand to the Brits, eh?

Arizona Cardinals (1-2) AT Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-3)

The Spread: Tampa Bay by 1
The Pick: Arizona
The Score: Arizona, 21-17
The Rationale: The Cardinals are 0-2 on the road this season and have to travel to Tampa to play a 1:00 game on Sunday. Typically, this would be a recipe for disaster for a west coast team. But, the cards certainly fell in Arizona’s favor. Tampa Bay is going with unproven rookie Mike Glennon. The behemoth stands at 6-6, 236 and sort of looks like he has got gigantism. Regardless, he won’t fare very well in start number one.

Indianapolis Colts (2-1) AT Jacksonville Jaguars (0-3)

The Spread: Indianapolis by 10
The Pick: Indianapolis
The Score: Indianapolis, 33-14
The Rationale: When an NFL team cannot cover 20 points, they’re a lost cause. Time to bet on every team that plays Jacksonville this season.

Seattle Seahawks (3-0) AT Houston Texans (2-1)

The Spread: Seattle by 3
The Pick: Seattle
The Score: Seattle, 27-17
The Rationale: The Texans are who we thought they were; a good team with little ability to defeat the contenders. There aren’t many contenders clicking more than Seattle right now. The Seahawks humiliated Jacksonville on Sunday and will look to replicate that success in Houston.

New York Jets (2-1) AT Tennessee Titans (2-1)

The Spread: Tennessee by 4
The Pick: Tennessee
The Score: Tennessee, 23-10
The Rationale: The Titans

Philadelphia Eagles (1-2) AT Denver Broncos (3-0)

The Spread: Denver by 12
The Pick: Philadelphia
The Score: Philadelphia, 37-34
The Rationale: Upset city! The Broncos have not exactly faced the stiffest competition so far. At least in the form of daunting offensive talent. The Ravens were on a Super Bowl hangover and without TE Dennis Pitta. Meanwhile, the Giants’ and Raiders’ offenses have been more successful turning it over than scoring touchdowns. Chip Kelly and the Birds have had 10 days to prepare. If they avoid the turnovers, they can beat anyone.

Washington D.C. Football Team (0-3) AT Oakland Raiders (1-2)

The Spread: Washington by 3
The Pick: Oakland
The Score: Washington, 23-21
The Rationale: The Redskins are clearly not a  good team. Their defense is mediocre and the offense just is not the same with RGIII still recovering from his knee injury. They should get a win this week. But, the Raiders have proven to be feisty early on this season.

Dallas Cowboys (2-1) AT San Diego Chargers (1-2)

The Spread: Dallas by 2
The Pick: San Diego
The Score: San Diego, 31-29
The Rationale: Both of these teams have stellar offenses. Dallas’ defense has been strong, as well. But, the loss of Anthony Spencer for the season should allow the Chargers (and future teams) to focus solely on DeMarcus Ware, limiting the Cowboys’ pass rush.

New England Patriots (3-0) AT Atlanta Falcons (1-2)

The Spread: Atlanta by 1
The Pick: Atlanta
The Score: Atlanta, 28-24
The Rationale: The Falcons need to win as a 1-3 start would cripple their chances of catching New Orleans this season. Meanwhile, New England has faced the likes of Josh Freeman, Geno Smith, and EJ Manuel in their three victories this season. Something tells me that Matt Ryan brings a bit more to the table than that trio.

Miami Dolphins (3-0) AT New Orleans Saints (3-0)

The Spread: New Orleans by 7
The Pick: Miami
The Score: New Orleans, 26-20
The Rationale: A great MNF matchup features two undefeated teams here in the early-going. I think that Miami will eventually come back down to earth. But, their defense is strong and New Orleans’ offense has been a bit inconsistent this campaign. The Saints will likely win. But, it won’t be by a touchdown.

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