Week One NFL Picks

Posted: September 3, 2013 in Uncategorized

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl - Oregon v Kansas State

 

Baltimore Ravens AT Denver Broncos

The Spread: Denver by 7.5
The Pick: Baltimore
The Score: Denver, 24-21
The Rationale: Having to play in Denver as opposed to being at home won’t help the defending Super Bowl champions. However, 7.5 points is a lot considering the fact that the Ravens just beat up on Denver 8 months ago in the postseason. Take note, this Ravens defense will be superior to last year’s championship D.

New England Patriots AT Buffalo Bills

The Spread: New England by 9.5
The Pick: New England
The Score: New England, 24-13
The Rationale: This is a lot of points for opening weekend. But, Buffalo is going to be playing this game with a rookie QB and New England will still be playing it with Tom Brady.

Tennessee Titans AT Pittsburgh Steelers

The Spread: Pittsburgh by 7
The Pick: Tennessee
The Score: Titans, 21-20
The Rationale: I like the Titans this year. I think their defense and running game could be top-5 in football. Going on the road to Pittsburgh is a daunting task in week one. But, the Steelers are without Le’Veon Bell and their defense is aging. This is my upset pick of the week.

Atlanta Falcons AT New Orleans Saints

The Spread: New Orleans by 3
The Pick: Atlanta
The Score: Atlanta, 34-27
The Rationale: How can New Orleans be favored in this game? That’s a clown-question, bro! When I saw this line, I nearly spit out my coffee and I wasn’t even drinking any. I mean, the Falcons are most people’s picks to win the NFC regular season crown. New Orleans, meanwhile, has a mediocre defense and a similarly average running game. Sean Payton is not that good of a coach when he’s not paying his players to murder people on the field. Regardless, he’s not beating Atlanta in week one.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers AT New York Jets

The Spread: Tampa Bay by 3
The Pick: Tampa Bay
The Score: Tampa Bay, 28-14
The Rationale: The line tells me something. Although, I didn’t need a betting line to show me that the Jets were mediocre heading into this season. Both of these teams could go 9-7 or 4-12. I think the Buccaneers are a better fit at the beginning of the season. We’ll see where these two teams are come November.

Kansas City Chiefs AT Jacksonville Jaguars

The Spread: Kansas City by 3.5
The Pick: Jacksonville
The Score: Jacksonville, 23-20
The Rationale: Let’s be real here. How overrated is Andy Reid as a coach? The guy hasn’t been to the playoffs since 2010, hasn’t won a playoff game since 2008, and hasn’t run a run play since 2003. Jacksonville with the upset.

Cincinnati Bengals AT Chicago Bears

The Spread: Chicago by 3
The Pick: Chicago
The Score: Chicago, 28-21
The Rationale: A great game in week one between two teams with playoff aspirations. Marc Trestman should get his first win at home here. The Bengals are talented. But, the Bears have a great offense and I like the direction that this team is going.

Miami Dolphins AT Cleveland Browns

The Spread: Pick ’em
The Pick: Miami
The Score: Miami, 20-17
The Rationale: This is a perfect matchup of two teams that no one knows anything about. Seriously, who knows whether or not the Dolphins or Browns will improve dramatically or disappoint severely? I suppose that I’ll go with the notion that Miami is a team on the rise and that Ryan Tannehill is going to shock a lot of people with his poise this year.

Seattle Seahawks AT Carolina Panthers

The Spread: Seattle by 3
The Pick: Seattle
The Score: Seattle, 24-17
The Rationale: I like Cam Newton and Luke Kuechly. But, the Seahawks’ defense is stout, and their offense should be improved as well (assuming no sophomore slump from Russell Wilson).

Minnesota Vikings AT Detroit Lions

The Spread: Detroit by 5
The Pick: Minnesota
The Score: Minnesota, 20-10
The Rationale: Who knows how this division will unfold? I do know that the Vikings still have Adrian Peterson and a very good pass rush. Unless the Lions’ offensive line is magically repaired, Matt Stafford will see Jared Allen in his face all afternoon.

Oakland Raiders AT Indianapolis Colts

The Spread: Indianapolis by 9.5
The Pick: Indianapolis
The Score: Indianapolis, 34-16
The Rationale: The Raiders are atrocious. Indianapolis is going to be a very good team this season. Blow…out…city.

Arizona Cardinals AT St. Louis Rams

The Spread: St. Louis by 5
The Pick: St. Louis
The Score: St. Louis, 21-14
The Rationale: Sam Bradford finally has some weapons and the Cardinals are by far the worst team in that division.

Green Bay Packers AT San Francisco 49ers

The Spread: San Francisco by 4.5
The Pick: Green Bay
The Score: Green Bay, 28-24
The Rationale: These two franchises just played to open the 2012 season with San Francisco triumphant. I’ll go with the Packers, this time.

New York Giants AT Dallas Cowboys

The Spread: Dallas by 3
The Pick: New York
The Score: New York, 16-13
The Rationale: I think this will be a low scoring, defensive affair with the game winning kick coming late in the night.

Philadelphia Eagles AT Washington Redskins

The Spread: Washington by 3.5
The Pick: Washington
The Score: Washington, 27-20
The Rationale: The Eagles’ run defense is terrible and the Redskins run as well as anyone. Yikes.

Houston Texans AT San Diego Superchargers

The Spread: Houston by 4
The Pick: Houston
The Score: Houston, 35-24
The Rationale: The Chargers are not nearly as good as they used to be. They also have plenty of injuries ravaging their roster. Look for Arian Foster to set the tone.

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