2013 NFL Mock Draft 4.5

Posted: April 24, 2013 in Uncategorized

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Update: Changes to picks 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 17, 25, 26, 29

PROJECTED TRADES INCLUDED

1. Kansas City Chiefs – OT Luke Joeckel, Texas A&M

It appears as though Joeckel will be the pick. When Andy Reid took over in Philadelphia in 1999, he already had Tra Thomas and then signed Jon Runyan to build a bookend duo at the tackle position. Joeckel, combined with Branden Albert (if he’s not dealt), will provide K.C. with a similar duo for years to come. 

2. Jacksonville Jaguars – DE/OLB Dion Jordan, Oregon
(Previously: T Eric Fisher, Central Michigan)

The #2 pick in this draft continues to be a mystery. Jacksonville would be smart to try to trade down. But, I doubt that there will be much of a market. Gus Bradley is a defensive minded coach, and Jacksonville is devoid of defensive playmakers. They’ll grab one here.

3. Oakland Raiders – OT Eric Fisher, Central Michigan
(Previously: DT Sharrif Floyd, Florida)

This is the first time I have put Fisher in this spot. The fact of the matter is that Oakland has holes throughout their entire roster. They may just be the worst team in football, as Mel Kiper stated on air the other day. They haven’t had a bookend tackle in years, and their last attempt to get one turned into Robert Gallery. If Oakland is content with moving into 2013 with Terrelle Pryor, they’ll need to protect him.

4. Miami Dolphins (Trade with Philadelphia) – T Lane Johnson, Oklahoma

The first trade of the mock. Miami will package the #12 pick, the #42 pick, and a 2014 third round pick to move up and select the third tackle in this draft, Lane Johnson from Oklahoma. With Jake Long moving on to St. Louis, the Dolphins are desperate for a left tackle. Johnson is that last one available that is worthy of a top-15 pick.

5. Detroit Lions – DE Ziggy Ansah, BYU

Detroit lost Kyle Van Den Bosch and Cliff Avril this offseason. They need to reinforce their pass-rush in the draft. The coaching staff had a close look at Ansah in the Senior Bowl and is, according to WalterFootball.com, “smitten with him.”

6.  Carolina Panthers (Trade with Cleveland): DT Sharrif Floyd, Florida

Continuing the trend of trading up, the Carolina Panthers move from 14 to 6, surrendering the #44 pick  and a late round pick to swap places with Cleveland. The Panthers will grab Florida’s Floyd, combining the physical freak with Luke Kuechly, Charles Johnson, and Jon Beason to create a dynamic front-seven.

7. Arizona Cardinals – OG Chance Warmack, Alabama
(Previously: OT Lane Johnson, Oklahoma)

With the immobile Carson Palmer in tow, Arizona should focus on improving their disastrous offensive line. With the tackles gone, Warmack becomes the BPA on the line.

8. Buffalo Bills – WR Tavon Austin, WVU
(Previously: QB Ryan Nassib, Syracuse)

There’s always one major reach in the first round. This season will see the Bills, who have needs on offensive line and at quarterback, select the speedy, undersized Austin instead of addressing some of their other needs. Austin would provide Buffalo with another speed demon along with CJ Spiller. But, who throws them the ball? Stay tuned.

9. New York Jets – DE/OLB Barkevious Mingo, LSU

The Jets desperately need to improve their pass rush now that they do not have the prowess of Darrelle Revis in the secondary. Mingo is the best rusher available, and will allow them to use the pick acquired from Tampa Bay on an offensive difference maker if they choose to do so.

10. Tennessee Titans – TE Tyler Eifert, Notre Dame
(Previously: OG Chance Warmack, Alabama)

If Warmack were here, I’d see Tennessee jumping on him. But, he’s not. So, the Titans have to either go with Jonathan Cooper or address another need. At this point, no one’s stock is soaring like Tyler Eifert, with Mel Kiper even stating that he could see him going as high as #6 to Cleveland. I doubt that. But, Eifert would be a perfect fit for the Titans. They brought in Delanie Walker in the offseason, but lost Jared Cook. A young QB like Jake Locker needs a couple of reliable targets over the middle. The last thing that anyone can call Kenny Britt is reliable.

11. San Diego Chargers – Jonathan Cooper, UNC

Part of me wants to put Tavon Austin here now that Warmack is off the board. After all, the Chargers have lost a lot of offensive talent the last few seasons and Philip Rivers’ stats have been affected dramatically. But, Rivers will not be putting up any stats unless the Chargers find him some protection. Cooper or Warmack, whomever is available, will be the pick.

12. Philadelphia Eagles (Trade with Miami) – DT Star Lotulelei, Utah

The Eagles trade down and still get one of the guys on their board. Star Lotulelei may not have an easy name to spell or pronounce. But, he has all the characteristics of a stud nose-tackle in the NFL.

13. New York Jets (From Tampa Bay) – CB Dee Milliner, Alabama

The Jets use the pick they got for Darrelle Revis to select his replacement. Injury questions have begun to surface regarding Milliner. But, getting the top CB in the draft at 13 is a nice consolation prize for dealing the best CB in football to Tampa Bay.

14. Cleveland Browns (Trade with Carolina) – DE Bjoern Werner, Florida State

This just seems like a Joe Banner pick. A raw, wiry defensive end with all the tools but no hard evidence of success. Cleveland picks up a couple of picks by trading down. Cleveland has had a long track record of selecting Florida State pass rushers.

15. New Orleans Saints – OLB Jarvis Jones, Georgia
(Previously: DT Star Lotulelei, Utah)

With Lotulelei no longer on the board, the Saints will address another aspect of their new 3-4 defense by grabbing a pass rusher in Jones. One of the top athletes in the draft, Jarvis Jones should provide adequate pass rush for a decade.

16. St. Louis Rams – FS Kenny Vaccaro, Texas

A hybrid defender with the size, speed, and athleticism of elite safeties, Kenny Vaccaro’s stock has risen a bit thanks to a strong combine and the failures of others at his position. Known as a hard hitter in Austin, Vaccaro should step right in and give St. Louis’ defense an attitude that they have been missing for a long time.

17. Pittsburgh Steelers – CB Xavier Rhodes, Florida State
(Previously: LB Jarvis Jones, Georgia)

The Steelers might have to take DJ Fluker here. But, their defense has gotten older in recent years, and the foundation of their six titles has always been their defense. Rhodes is a big corner who can take pressure off the Steelers’ pass-rush.

18. Dallas Cowboys – DT Sylvester Williams, North Carolina

I flirted with Eddie Lacy in this spot. But, I was reminded by Cowboys fans that Jason Garrett could have Emmitt Smith and Walter Payton in the backfield and he would still line up for a 4th and inches with four wide receivers. Monte Kiffin’s Tampa-2 defense requires a quick, gap-penetrating defensive tackle. Who knows what the story is with Jay Ratliff? Sylvester Williams has shown that his first step is undeniably one of the best in the draft.

19. New York Giants – OT DJ Fluker, Alabama

Alec Ogletree would certainly fill a need. But, no one wins championships without a quality offensive line. Fluker is the best available, and he holds significant championship pedigree.

20. Chicago Bears – LB Alec Ogletree, Georgia

Without Brian Urlacher in the middle, the Bears will need to find a replacement for their former All-Pro MLB. Ogletree was the top LB available and would help infuse some youth into the new “Monsters of the Midway.”

21. Cincinnati Bengals – S Matt Elam, Florida

This hard-hitting safety is seeing his stock rise as the weeks go by. Elam combines decent cover skills with a reckless abandon that makes defensive coordinators salivate. Cincinnati has decent cover corners, but has not had the stellar “over-the-top” help that the best teams always do. After all, they have played Troy Polamalu and Ed Reed twice a year for the past decade.

22. St. Louis Rams (via Washington) – WR Keenan Allen, California

The Rams are in need of a playmaker or two on offense. It remains to be seen whether or not Steven Jackson or Danny Amendola will return. But, even if they do, the Rams need a game breaker #1 type receiver that Amendola or Brandon Gibson just does not provide. Allen has speed and size that would certainly help Sam Bradford emerge from mediocrity.

23. Minnesota Vikings – WR Cordarelle Patterson, Tennessee

The concern with Patterson here is that he really reminds me of Troy Williamson in that he has tremendous athleticism and size yet is very inconsistent. Still, teams rarely learn from their mistakes, and the Vikings are desperate for a deep threat to go alongside Greg Jennings.

24. Indianapolis Colts – S Eric Reid, LSU

Indianapolis improved their secondary last season by trading for Vontae Davis. Still, their D was far from above-average in 2012. Reid is the best safety available and will provide the Colts with a dynamite duo of he and Antoine Bethea.

25. Minnesota Vikings (From Seattle) – CB Desmond Trufant, Washington
(Previously: DE Bjoern Werner, Florida State)

The Vikings are going to be without veteran corner Antoine Winfield for the first time since 2003 after he signed with Seattle in the offseason. They desperately need to improve that secondary. Trufant has size, speed, and ability.

26. Buffalo Bills (Trade with Green Bay) – QB Ryan Nassib, Syracuse

Buffalo deals #41 and #71 to move up to #26 and grab their QB of the future. Nassib might not be the popular choice. But, he is Doug Marrone’s choice.

27. Houston Texans – WR Justin Hunter, Tennessee

ESPN’s Todd McShay believes that Justin Hunter will have a better career than his collegiate teammate, Cordarelle Patterson. Houston has not had a gamebreaker next to Andre Johnson since the former Miami Hurricane became a superstar.

28. Denver Broncos – DE Datone Jones, UCLA

The Broncos lost Elvis Dumervil in the offseason, and didn’t exactly have the most dynamic duo at defensive end prior to his departure, anyway. Jones has size (6-4, 283) and decent speed for an end (4.75).

29. Jacksonville Jaguars (Trade with New England) – QB Geno Smith, WVU

Bill Belichick loves to trade down. He will likely do it again. Especially if Geno Smith is still available. Jacksonville has the first pick in the second round. So, they’ll part ways with that pick #33 and a late round pick to move up four spots and grab Smith. New coaches mean new quarterbacks, especially if your current crop resembles Jacksonville’s.

30. Atlanta Falcons – CB Johnthan Banks, Mississippi State

Despite the fact that he’s got a very “Jrue Holiday” style first name, Banks deserves to go in the first 35 picks in the draft. At 6-2, 185, he is a big corner who would provide Atlanta with just what they needed after Dunta Robinson and Brent Grimes left this offseason.

31. San Francisco 49ers – WR Robert Woods, USC

The 49ers will stay in-state and select Woods at the back end of the round. They would love to land one of the first round graded safeties, but they’re all off the board. Therefore, the 49ers should look at a wide receiver to surround Colin Kaepernick with weapons. Woods is flying up the draft boards after a great Pro Day in which he ran a 4.36 short shuttle and a 6.83 three-cone drill.

32. Baltimore Ravens – MLB Manti Te’0, Notre Dame

Manti Te’0 should be a first round pick. I was tempted to put him in a couple of earlier positions, such as Minnesota with one of their two selections. But, he ended up falling. If the Ravens are able to land him, they will gladly make the selection and replace Ray Lewis with the former Fighting Irish star.

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