SkoodSports’ Super Bowl Pick: Baltimore Covers, San Francisco Celebrates

Posted: January 31, 2013 in Uncategorized

ImageNeedless to say, SkoodSports laid a serious egg in the Conference Championship games. The 0-2 record brings the yearly total to a respectable 119-111-7. In other words, I have finished above .500 for the season regardless of what happens on Sunday. That in itself is a feat considering I have never kept tabs on picks for an entire season. If I had actually laid money down on every game this year, I would have come out ahead. That’s more than I can say for most experts who pick against the spread.

Superbowl XLVII promises to be a good one. Two brothers will face off for the right to declare themselves the superior Harbaugh. Who is the smarter bet? Well, Jim, who came into the NFL less than two years ago, has been to two NFC Championship Games and now one Super Bowl. His big brother, meanwhile, has won a playoff game every season he has been a coach (since 2008).

Baltimore Ravens (13-6) vs. San Francisco 49ers (13-4-1)

The Scene: Sunday, February 3rd, 6:30 PM
The Spread: San Francisco by 4
The Pick: Baltimore
The Score: San Francisco, 27-24
The Rationale: This is expected to be a close matchup, and I cannot agree more. Both teams’ defenses have proven that they are stout beyond the normal understanding of the word. There are multiple playmakers on both sides of the ball that will contribute to this game’s final score being so narrow.

In the QB matchup, I honestly like Joe Flacco more than I like Colin Kaepernick. I think experience in a game like this is critical, and no one has played in more games than Joey Ballgame since 2008 besides Tom Brady (whom the former just soundly defeated two weeks ago). But, San Francisco can do so many things that Baltimore cannot. Kaepernick’s ability to run the football will keep the pass rushers of Baltimore on their heels and allow Frank Gore to penetrate the front-seven with relative ease.

The one key to this game that swings dramatically in Baltimore’s favor is special teams. San Francisco K David Akers has suffered through a truly demoralizing campaign. Still, he has experience that Baltimore’s rookie K Justin Tucker does not. Akers has, of course, kicked in a Super Bowl before (XXXIX).

In the end, I believe that we could see our first overtime Super Bowl. Regardless of whether or not we need extra time, I like Baltimore to narrowly cover the four point spread. They could certainly win. But, 75% of all favorites have won Super Bowls dating back to the very first matchup between Green Bay and Kansas City. I’ll take the 49ers to win and the Ravens to cover.

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