Week Sixteen NFL Picks

Posted: December 20, 2012 in Uncategorized

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Last Week: 8-8-0
2012 Season: 99-89-7

Atlanta Falcons (12-2) AT Detroit Lions (4-10)

The Spread: Atlanta by 3.5
The Pick: Atlanta
The Score: Atlanta, 28-13
The Rationale: The Lions are in full free fall mode. They could put up a fight in this game if Atlanta lets them. But, I doubt that happens. Calvin Johnson is approaching the all-time single season record for receiving yards. 

Washington Redskins (8-6) AT Philadelphia Eagles (4-10)

The Spread: Washington by 6.5
The Pick: Washington
The Score: Washington, 37-27
The Rationale: The Eagles can score on Washington. They didn’t show that last time they played. However, Nick Foles has improved greatly since then. The problem lies when Washington has the ball. Which they likely will have multiple times due to Philadelphia turnovers. 

New Orleans Saints (6-8) AT Dallas Cowboys (8-6)

The Spread: Dallas by 3.5
The Pick: New Orleans
The Score: Dallas, 30-28
The Rationale: Tough game to pick. The Cowboys need this game if they want to make the playoffs. The Saints, meanwhile, are done. However, they were also done last week when they ripped through the Buccaneers. I think the Saints will cover. But, Dallas grabs a narrow but crucial victory. 

Tennessee Titans (5-9) AT Green Bay Packers (10-4) 

The Spread: Green Bay by 12.5
The Pick: Tennessee
The Score: Green Bay, 30-20
The Rationale: Tennessee’s defense played their finest game of the season against Mark Sanchez and the Jets on Monday. Granted, Sanchez is terrible and Aaron Rodgers is the reigning MVP. But, I think that 12.5 points is too high a spread for a game Tennessee squad.

Indianapolis Colts (9-5) AT Kansas City Chiefs (2-12)

The Spread: Indianapolis by 7.5
The Pick: Indianapolis
The Score: Indianapolis, 41-6
The Rationale: This spread could have been 27.5 and I might have considered Indianapolis. The Chiefs are finished and they have been since week one. 

Buffalo Bills (5-9) AT Miami Dolphins (6-8)

The Spread: Miami by 4.5
The Pick: Miami
The Score: Miami, 27-10
The Rationale: Miami is clicking right now at home. Buffalo, meanwhile, has been bushwhacked the past few weeks including this past week at home vs. Seattle. 

San Diego Chargers (5-9) AT New York Jets (6-8)

The Spread: New York by 2.5
The Pick: San Diego
The Score: San Diego, 24-13
The Rationale: Greg McElroy vs. Philip Rivers? Yeah, I’ll gladly take the Chargers in this matchup of lame-duck coaches.

Cincinnati Bengals (8-6) AT Pittsburgh Steelers (7-7)

The Spread: Pittsburgh by 3.5
The Pick: Cincinnati
The Score: Cincinnati, 20-17
The Rationale: Vegas seems to think that this is your father’s Steelers bunch. Ben Roethlisberger has not had the season many predicted, and injuries have left Pittsburgh on the verge of elimination. The Bengals will get it done.

St. Louis Rams (6-7-1) AT Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-8)

The Spread: Tampa Bay by 3.5
The Pick: St. Louis
The Score: St. Louis, 21-17
The Rationale: The Buccaneers lost to Philadelphia two weeks ago at home. Then, they were shutout, 41-0, in New Orleans last weekend. Anyone who thinks this team has anything left in the tank has not been paying attention.

Oakland Raiders (4-10) AT Carolina Panthers (5-9)

The Spread: Carolina by 8.5
The Pick: Carolina
The Score: Carolina, 28-9
The Rationale: As Tampa Bay swoons, Carolina soars. The Panthers only needed that Monday night matchup in Philadelphia last month to turn around their season. 

New England Patriots (10-4) AT Jacksonville Jaguars (2-12)

The Spread: New England by 14.5
The Pick: New England
The Score: New England, 40-21
The Rationale: New England’s offense should score almost every drive against Jacksonville. However, their defense has struggled. So, I’ll give the Jaguars about 14 more points than they deserve.

Minnesota Vikings (8-6) AT Houston Texans (12-2)

The Spread: Houston by 7.5
The Pick: Minnesota
The Score: Houston, 30-20
The Rationale: If Minnesota can get a lead early and rely on Adrian Peterson the rest of the way, they can pull out a critical upset. I don’t think that their defense will have enough to stop Houston’s balanced attack, however.

Cleveland Browns (5-9) AT Denver Broncos (11-3)

The Spread: Denver by 13.5
The Pick: Cleveland
The Score: Denver, 21-17
The Rationale: Coming off an emotional road win in Baltimore, the Broncos are due for a bit of a letdown. They won’t likely lose to Cleveland. But, the Browns will prove that they’re game enough to keep it in single digits. 

Chicago Bears (8-6) AT Arizona Cardinals (5-9) 

The Spread: Chicago by 5.5
The Pick: Chicago
The Score: Chicago, 20-10
The Rationale: Chicago was the toast of the league when their defense was forcing four turnovers a game. Flash forward two months, and the well has dried up. If there is any team that the Monsters of the Midway can get their mojo back against, it’s the walking, talking turnover that we call the Arizona Cardinals. 

New York Giants (8-6) AT Baltimore Ravens (9-5)

The Spread: New York by 2.5
The Pick: Baltimore
The Score: Baltimore, 23-20
The Rationale: Both of these teams are struggling and everyone knows it. If the Giants don’t win this week, the defending champions will likely not make the postseason. I think that will be the case after they fall to a Baltimore team that is nearly just as desperate. 

San Francisco 49ers (10-3-1) AT Seattle Seahawks (9-5)

The Spread: San Francisco by 1.5
The Pick: Seattle
The Score: Seattle, 23-16
The Rationale: How is San Francisco favored in this game? The Seahawks have not lost at home in nearly a year (coincidentally, their last loss in Seattle was to San Francisco in week sixteen of 2011) and they became the first team since the 1940s to score 50+ points in back-to-back games. The third time won’t be a charm. But, their defense has enough to shut down Colin Kaepernick and narrow San Francisco’s division lead.

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