Week Fifteen NFL Picks

Posted: December 12, 2012 in Uncategorized



Last Week: 8-7-1
2012 Season: 91-81-7

Cincinnati Bengals (7-6) AT Philadelphia Eagles (4-9)

The Spread: Cincinnati by 3.5
The Pick: Philadelphia
The Score: Cincinnati, 30-27
The Rationale: Since I will be at this game on Thursday, I fully expect the Eagles to lose. Still, they have played better over the past few weeks, and it would not surprise me to see them go on another late season push towards mediocrity and an average draft pick.

New York Giants (8-5) AT Atlanta Falcons (11-2)

The Spread: Atlanta by 1.5
The Pick: New York
The Score: New York, 24-21
The Rationale: The Falcons have struggled of late. Their one-dimensional offense is beginning to show signs of fatigue at the wrong time. If they do not right the ship soon, they could be headed for another one-and-done postseason appearance. 

Green Bay Packers (9-4) AT Chicago Bears (8-5) 

The Spread: Green Bay by 3.5
The Pick: Green Bay
The Score: Green Bay, 26-14
The Rationale: The Packers, unlike the Falcons, are clicking heading into the home-stretch. A victory over the Bears on Sunday would cement their status atop the NFC North.

Washington Redskins (7-6) AT Cleveland Browns (5-8)

The Spread: Washington by 1
The Pick: Washington
The Score: Washington, 20-13
The Rationale: The Browns’ defense has been steady for most of the season. The problem has been their inconsistent offense. Unfortunately for Cleveland, RG3 looks ready to go. Washington should win if their star signal-caller is under center. 

Minnesota Vikings (7-6) AT St. Louis Rams (6-6-1)

The Spread: St. Louis by 3
The Pick: Minnesota
The Score: Minnesota, 20-17
The Rationale: The Vikings play much better indoors than out. They also have the best running back in football. These are just two reasons to pick the Vikings. 

Jacksonville Jaguars (2-11) AT Miami Dolphins (5-8)

The Spread: Miami by 7
The Pick: Miami
The Score: Miami, 27-10
The Rationale: The Jaguars are on the fast track for the #1 overall pick. The Dolphins have been struggling. But, a matchup with the worst team in the NFL should be just the medicine they need to cure their ailing ways. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-7) AT New Orleans Saints (5-8)

The Spread: New Orleans by 3
The Pick: Tampa Bay
The Score: New Orleans, 35-34
The Rationale: I just can’t pick the Saints to cover spreads anymore. Not after I have witnessed their defense get gashed week-after-week for 40+ points per game. It is beyond embarrassing at this point and has reached the level of comical. 

Denver Broncos (10-3) AT Baltimore Ravens (9-4)

The Spread: Denver by 2.5
The Pick: Denver
The Score: Denver, 27-20
The Rationale: The Ravens, like the Falcons, have not looked their best the past few games. Losses to Washington and Pittsburgh have Baltimore looking vulnerable. A visit from the best QB to ever grace a football field will not help things a whole lot.

Indianapolis Colts (9-4) AT Houston Texans (11-2)

The Spread: Houston by 8.5
The Pick: Indianapolis
The Score: Houston, 34-27
The Rationale: I still think Houston has a chance this season. But, their secondary looks very vulnerable. Enter Andrew Luck, who has turned the once downtrodden Colts into contenders. This will be a close game.

Seattle Seahawks (8-5) AT Buffalo Bills (5-8)

The Spread: Seattle by 5
The Pick: Buffalo
The Score: Buffalo, 17-14
The Rationale: All five of Seattle’s losses have come on the road this year. Meanwhile, the Bills are coming off a disappointing home defeat at the hands of St. Louis. I don’t expect them to lose two in a row at home in December.

Detroit Lions (4-9) AT Arizona Cardinals (4-9)

The Spread: Detroit by 6
The Pick: Detroit
The Score: Detroit, 34-12
The Rationale: One of my easier picks of the week. I don’t expect to pick Arizona again this season. After all, they haven’t won a game since early October. 

Carolina Panthers (4-9) AT San Diego Chargers (5-8)

The Spread: San Diego by 3
The Pick: Carolina
The Score: Carolina, 30-20
The Rationale: Cam Newton looked like the real deal in last week’s victory over Atlanta. The Chargers, meanwhile, got their kicks in against Pittsburgh. I think Carolina is starting to finally figure it all out. San Diego is just playing out the final weeks of a now forgettable era. 

Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6) AT Dallas Cowboys (7-6)

The Spread: Pittsburgh by 2
The Pick: Pittsburgh
The Score: Pittsburgh, 27-17
The Rationale: The first Super Bowl I ever watched live was Super Bowl XXX between these two historic franchises. The Cowboys used Neil O’Donnell’s apparent color-blindness to intercept the Steelers’ QB twice en route to a 27-17 victory. I’ll say that the score remains the same, but the roles are reversed. 

Kansas City Chiefs (2-11) AT Oakland Raiders (3-10)

The Spread: Oakland by 3
The Pick: Oakland
The Score: Oakland, 14-10
The Rationale: Nevermind about the Super Bowl. This matchup is a real Stinker Bowl. I guess I will go with the Raiders, who are only slightly less anemic offensively than the Chiefs. 

San Francisco 49ers (9-3-1) AT New England Patriots (10-3)

The Spread: New England by 3.5
The Pick: New England
The Score: New England, 27-23
The Rationale: I love this matchup. The best offense in football meets the best defense in football. A potential Super Bowl preview, the Patriots should have enough oomph left in the tank to beat Colin Kaepernick at home. 

New York Jets (6-7) AT Tennessee Titans (4-9)

The Spread: Tennessee by 1.5
The Pick: Tennessee
The Score: Tennessee, 20-14
The Rationale: Having Jake Locker back has at least allowed the Titans to keep things interesting in a lost season. The Jets, meanwhile, are somehow still in the playoff race despite the fact that I have seen Division III offenses operate more soundly than Rex Ryan’s bunch. Titans will win if they utilize their running game.

  1. your aunt says:

    Peyton is the best QB ever to grace a football field? Really? Have you watched him in the post season? He is number 2 or 1A or 1B 1C among usual suspects. Montana, Unitas, Brady, etc.

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