Week Thirteen NFL Picks

Posted: November 28, 2012 in Uncategorized

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Last Week: 7-7-2
2012 Season: 83-74-4

New Orleans Saints (5-6) AT Atlanta Falcons (10-1)

The Spread: Atlanta by 3.5
The Pick: Atlanta
The Score: Atlanta, 30-24
The Rationale: The Saints’ defense is still atrocious. One merely has to look at how they were trashed by a rookie Quarterback making his second NFL start last Sunday. Matt Ryan, meanwhile, bounced back from his 5 interception performance two weeks ago to lead the Falcons to a victory over Tampa Bay last week. I don’t see the Saints stopping the Atlanta air attack.

Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9) AT Buffalo Bills (4-7)

The Spread: Buffalo by 6
The Pick: Buffalo
The Score: Buffalo, 27-13
The Rationale: Buffalo is not a very good team. But, at the same time, Jacksonville might be the worst team in the NFL. They have been playing better with Chad Henne under center, but a road trip to frosty Buffalo is not likely to have a happy ending for Jacksonville.

Seattle Seahawks (6-5) AT Chicago Bears (8-3)

The Spread: Chicago by 4
The Pick: Chicago
The Score: Chicago, 26-21
The Rationale: If the Bears have Jay Cutler, they’re a Super Bowl contender. Lucky for them, they will have him this Sunday. Seattle is great at home, mediocre on the road. Their playoff hopes will take another hit on Sunday. 

Indianapolis Colts (7-4) AT Detroit Lions (4-7)

The Spread: Detroit by 4.5
The Pick: Detroit
The Score: Detroit, 28-21
The Rationale: I’m buying the Andrew Luck hype machine. But, I’m not buying the Colts as a legitimate contender this season. Their defense has been exposed by talented passing games like New England. If Detroit can mimic their Thanksgiving performance, they should get a win. 

Minnesota Vikings (6-5) AT Green Bay Packers (7-4)

The Spread: Green Bay by 9
The Pick: Green Bay
The Score: Green Bay, 31-17
The Rationale: Tough two week stretch for the Vikings. They had to go into Soldier Field in Chicago last week and now travel to the frozen tundra of Green Bay. Christian Ponder is regressing as the season goes along. That doesn’t bode well when going against Aaron Rodgers and the Pack, who are angry after getting destroyed by New York on Sunday night.

Houston Texans (10-1) AT Tennessee Titans (4-7)

The Spread: Houston by 5.5
The Pick: Houston
The Score: Houston, 35-17
The Rationale: Well, here’s a lock of the week. The Texans are coming off a long break after winning on Thanksgiving, are facing one of the worst run defenses in football, and have the best record in football. Somehow, they’re only favored by 5.5.

San Francisco 49ers (8-2-1) AT St. Louis Rams (4-6-1)

The Spread: San Francisco by 7
The Pick: St. Louis
The Score: San Francisco, 23-20
The Rationale: The last game between these two ended in a tie. I hope I’m not the only one hoping for the same. Colin Kaepernick has been steady so far. But, St. Louis will keep it close again.

Carolina Panthers (3-8) AT Kansas City Chiefs (1-10)

The Spread: Carolina by 3
The Pick: Kansas City
The Score: Kansas City, 24-23
The Rationale: I’m going out on a limb just by picking Kansas City to have a touchdown in this game. But, if Bryce Brown can go buck wild against Carolina, imagine what Jamaal Charles could do? Chiefs get the upset!

Cleveland Browns (3-8) AT Oakland Raiders (3-8)

The Spread: Pick ’em
The Pick: Oakland
The Score: Oakland, 23-21
The Rationale: I don’t really like this pick. I think Cleveland is the better team right now. But, traveling across the country is never easy. Let alone for a three win team. The Browns are coming off an emotional victory vs. Pittsburgh. A letdown is in order.

New England Patriots (8-3) AT Miami Dolphins (5-6)

The Spread: New England by 7.5
The Pick: New England
The Score: New England, 33-19
The Rationale: A long break after their thanksgiving thrashing of the Jets is just what the doctor ordered for the Pats. They’ll come out strong and mimic their week one triumph in Miami last season. 

Arizona Cardinals (4-7) AT New York Jets (4-7)

The Spread: New York by 4.5
The Pick: New York
The Score: New York, 24-14
The Rationale: The only QB in the league that I trust less that Mark Sanchez is Ryan Lindley. Arizona has lost seven in a row and the slippery slope doesn’t seem to be drying up any time soon.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-5) AT Denver Broncos (8-3)

The Spread: Denver by 7
The Pick: Tampa Bay
The Score: Tampa Bay, 28-24
The Rationale: How’s that for an upset? The Buccaneers need it more than the Broncos after back to back losses to Carolina and Atlanta. Josh Freeman has been a pleasant surprise in 2012.

Cincinnati Bengals (6-5) AT San Diego Chargers (4-7)

The Spread: Cincinnati by 1.5
The Pick: Cincinnati
The Score: Cincinnati, 17-14
The Rationale: I find no reason to pick the San Diego Chargers until Norv Turner is fired. That 4th and 29 conversion by Baltimore last week was one of the most impressive and ludicrous things I have ever seen. The Bengals are heating up at the right time.

Pittsburgh Steelers (6-5) AT Baltimore Ravens (9-2)

The Spread: Pick ’em
The Pick: Baltimore
The Score: Baltimore, 24-17
The Rationale: This spread is messy because of the uncertainty surrounding Ben Roethlisberger. If he plays, this should be a close game. If he doesn’t, Pittsburgh fans better say their hail mary’s. 

Philadelphia Eagles (3-8) AT Dallas Cowboys (5-6)

The Spread: Dallas by 10
The Pick: Dallas
The Score: Dallas, 64-7
The Rationale: Okay, the score was a bit of a fabrication. But, the Eagles are just falling apart at the seams. Seven straight losses with none of them in the past six weeks even being close. Dallas is not exactly the model of success, either. But, no one can match the Eagles for ineptitude. 28-13, Dallas. 

New York Giants (7-4) AT Washington Redskins (5-6)

The Spread: New York by 2.5
The Pick: New York
The Score: New York, 23-20
The Rationale: A lot of people picking RG3. But, hiccups are natural for a rookie QB. The Giants’ pass rush should have more success than the Eagles or Cowboys did at neutralizing the kid’s ability.

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